Nov 18, 2025

The BTC structure has broken. A strategy adjustment is needed as soon as possible.

In last week's post, I mentioned taking profits at 106K and warned about the risk of a wick. Who would have thought that "wick" would turn into a structural reversal? 😭

This once again confirms the saying: In a hellish market, no one makes perpetual profits. Being able to capture any swing is something to be grateful for.

Whatever you do, don't stubbornly hold against the trend. This market won't keep handing out candy forever.

What to do now? 👇

Current market situation: Persistent downward drift; the bottom is not yet in.

To form a bottom, at least one of two conditions must be met:

A massive liquidation wick (panic flush)

A drop to a major support level accompanied by a 4H reversal structure

Until then: don't call a true bottom, and don't expect a true rebound.

The W FVG is in the 86.6K–92.7K range

A move to the lower boundary of this range is highly likely

If it drops to the bottom of the W FVG without a strong reversal, the next target is around 74K

Conditions for a bullish reversal:

A quick and violent liquidity sweep

A strong BMS (break of market structure) breakout

For me, a BMS above 106–107K would count as a true reversal. A break above 100K could also flip me bullish, but that's more psychological and structural—its strength isn't as convincing as the former.

If you're playing swings, you can take some profits if it reaches 96K. Wait for strong reversal conditions to appear on the higher timeframe before looking higher.

ETH/BTC is also declining.

But among the majors, SOL and ETH are still stronger than BTC. BNB is holding up for now.

In this type of market, you can hedge → short BTC, go long ETH or SOL, and consider BNB as well.

Looking at US stocks together: during this period, the Asian session candlesticks have been highly deceptive—a rally during Asian hours often gets crushed by a single red candle when US markets open. Small timeframe reversal signals like the 1H have become increasingly unreliable. Try to wait for reversal patterns on the 4H timeframe before making decisions, taking it step by step.

In times like these, it's crucial to remind yourself: survive first, make money second.

Don't gamble, don't rush, don't act impulsively.

Be patient and wait for the market to give its next clear signal. We will surely catch the move that belongs to us.

Let's stay strong together!! Believe in Web3, believe in Crypto. Our conviction remains unshaken!