Sep 19, 2025

Why the next few weeks will be CHAOTIC, but I’m still bullish into year-end.

- The Fed cut 25bps but Powell’s tone was HAWKISH.

- He called it “risk management,” NOT the start of an easing cycle.

- Only a few small cuts through 2026.

- Not what the market wanted → maximum uncertainty = volatility fuel.

We're entering a phase of extreme VOLATILITY.

The market is now hunting for liquidations.

Every data point will be overread:

- Good news = bad news (strong data = fewer cuts)

- Bad news = good news (weak data = more cuts)

- Expect whipsaw action ahead📉📈

Why October worries me:

- Historical precedent: Fed precautionary cuts often precede short-term pullbacks.

- If data weakens but inflation stays sticky → policy error fears.

- ⚠️A 15-20% equity correction is possible.

BUT — my year-end crypto outlook remains BULLISH.

Institutional demand is REAL:

- Bitcoin ETFs see $2.3B surge, strongest since July.

- ETFs now hold 6.6% of Bitcoin’s market cap

- ETF inflows exceed new Bitcoin supply by 9x

- SEC approved GDLC: 1st multi-crypto ETP (BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA)

- This is STRUCTURAL. Not speculation.

My game plan:

- No high-leverage trading for the next few weeks (liquidation season ☠️)

- Accumulate quality on dips:

$BTC

$ETH

$SOL